A Mathematical Model Proves That In Order To Lose Weight You Should Change The Metabolism

We’ve already discussed this several times: in order to lose weight you should reprogram your metabolism as it’s not sufficient to just lower your calorie intake (the notorious equation 3500 calories = 1 pound of fat is not enough)
On this topic a brand new study has been published today online in the August 27, 2011 issue of The Lancet medical journal and, what’s cool about it, is that it just add more proof to our beliefs.
Researchers at the National Institutes of Health have created a mathematical model together with an online weight simulation tool, that predicts what happens when people of varying weights, diets and exercise habits try to change their weight.
The findings challenge the commonly held belief that eating 3,500 fewer calories, or burning them off exercising, will always result in a pound of weight loss.
Instead, the researchers' computer simulations indicate that this assumption overestimates weight loss because it fails to account for how metabolism changes. The computer simulations show how these metabolic changes can significantly differ among people.

The computer simulation of metabolism is meant as a research tool and not as a weight-loss guide for the public. The computer program can run simulations for changes in calories or exercise that would never be recommended for healthy weight loss.
"This research helps us understand why one person may lose weight faster or slower than another, even when they eat the same diet and do the same exercise," said Kevin Hall, Ph.D., an obesity researcher and physicist at the NIH's National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases and the paper's first author. "Our computer simulations can then be used to help design personalized weight management programs to address individual needs and goals."
The online simulation tool based on the mathematical model enables researchers to precisely predict how body weight will change and how long it will likely take to reach weight goals based on a starting weight and estimated physical activity.
The tool, at http://bwsimulator.niddk.nih.gov/, simulates how factors such as diet and exercise can alter metabolism over time and thereby lead to changes of weight and body fat.
I played with the tool for almost an hour and it’s not only really funny but also pretty cool. It gives you a better understanding of the factors that influence body weight gain/loss.

To test the model, the researchers compared predicted weight changes to actual changes in people. "Mathematical modeling lets us make and test predictions about changes in weight and metabolism over time," Hall said. "We're developing research tools to accurately simulate physiological differences between people based on gender, age, height, and weight, as well as body fat and resting metabolic rate."
For example, the team found that people's bodies adapt slowly to changes in dietary intake. They also found heavier people can expect greater weight change with the same change in diet, though reaching a stable body weight will take them longer than people with less fat.

The model also points to a potential simplified method to approximate weight loss in an average overweight person. An adult who has a body mass index (a measure of a person's weight in relation to his or her height) between 25 and 29.9 is considered overweight. One example: For every pound you want to lose, permanently cut 10 calories from your current intake per day. At that rate, it will take about one year to achieve half of the total weight loss, and almost all of the weight loss will have occurred by three years. This calculation shows how long it takes to achieve a weight-loss goal for a single permanent change of diet or exercise. Researchers can use the web simulation tool to plan for a phase of more-rapid weight loss followed by a weight maintenance phase. People should consult with their physician prior to embarking on a diet plan.
"By using our model to track progress, clinicians can help people re-evaluate their goals and ability to achieve them at the pace they want," Hall said. "It's a good reality check for how long weight-loss takes, and what changes in eating and exercise are required to achieve and maintain goal weight."
Moving toward that goal, a more comprehensive mathematical model of human metabolism was used recently to design an NIH clinical trial that is comparing the effects of reducing fats versus carbohydrates in obese adults. Hall and collaborators also published findings in the May 11 issue of the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition illustrating a method for precisely measuring how much a person's eating changed when he or she went on a diet.
"This research illustrates how the interdisciplinary skills of NIH scientists, like a physicist doing obesity research, can help lead to innovative ways to test, understand and treat a major public health epidemic," said NIDDK Director Griffin P. Rodgers, M.D. "Advancing research from the laboratory to the bedside enables us to make the discoveries that can better people's lives."

Considerations

This findings of this study are really important because they prove that by merely cutting calorie intake it takes a lot of time to lose weight. While people should also focus on the changing their eating habits (i.e., calories “quality”) and lifestyle.
This team of researchers has also published, along with this study, three other papers that focus on obesity and how it should be considered an epidemic in today’s world. You will probably read in the newspaper and hear on the news some of the outcomes of this research. But I strongly encourage you to go onto the Lancet website (where the studies have been published) and read the abstracts (if not the full text) of these studies by yourself: food for thought!

The Iron You